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Which monarchies do you consider most likely to be restored and which monarchies do you consider most likely to be abolished?
I consider the Russian, Iranian and Georgian monarchies the monarchies, which are most likely to be restored, and I consider the Spanish monarchy and the Commonwealth realms the monarchies, which are most likely to be abolished. The current hereditary monarchies of Europe appear very safe except Spain, and the monarchies of Japan, Bhutan, Cambodia, Malaysia, Brunei, Yogyakarta (a province of Indonesia), Swaziland, Lesotho, South Africa, Uganda, Tonga and Wallis & Futuna appear very safe. The unpopularity of King Vajiralongkorn of Thailand is worrying, but abolition of the Thai monarchy still appears unlikely. All the Arab monarchies appear safe except Bahrain, where opposition to the monarchy is widespread among the Shia majority, but the Bahraini monarchy is safe as long as Saudi Arabia props it up. In Russia, there is significant popular support for restoration of the monarchy (28 % of the entire Russian population and 37 % of the young Russians support restoration of the monarchy according to respected Russian polling agency VTsIOM) and parts of the Kremlin establishment and the Russian Orthodox clergy support the restoration of the monarchy. Examples of prominent Russian monarchist is Vsevolod Chaplin, a prominent Russian Orthodox clergyman and Sergey Aksyonov, the Head (governor) of Crimea. In Georgia, Patriarch Ilia of the Georgian Orthodox Church promotes restoration of the Georgian monarchy, and monarchists are an important part of the Iranian opposition. Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi is the most prominent Iranian opposition leader. In the Balkans, the Montenegrin monarchy was partly restored in 2011, but otherwise monarchism has faded in the Balkans. Monarchism has faded in Afghanistan and in Libya too. Monarchism is insignificant in the former monarchies of Western Europe and in Turkey.