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DavidV

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Reply with quote  #1 
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/13/world/africa/ethiopia-protests.html

If you haven't been keeping up, the present regime in Ethiopia is facing possibly its biggest challenge in the 25 years since the country was liberated from the horror of the Derg regime.

There is only one solutionf or Ethiopia - the restoration of the monarchy and a re-calibration of its political order to ensure unity and harmony. This may yet be the most opportune moment to propose this solution.
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #2 
It is in my opinion the best way out of the increasing ethnicization of politics in the country.  Something must be done before the cultural marxists of every stripe manage to tear the country and each other apart.

[image]

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The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #3 
That's the problem. I believe there are sinister elements at hand who aim to exploit the crisis to divide Ethiopia. What the monarchy will offer is both national unity and compromise to balance out interests.
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #4 
http://unpo.org/article/19384

Whatever legitimate grievances there may be, Ethiopia presents a tricky situation for policymakers. For one, there needs to be a viable alternative to the present regime, opportunity for which was squandered before or after 1991. That being only the restoration of the Ethiopian monarchy, the Empire of Ethiopia, which alone can guarantee security and stability in the region.

What is most disturbing is the ethnic-based narratives being promoted. I have seen claims Ethiopia since the 19th Century was a "colonialist" or "Apartheid" state (an accusation levelled against the present regime, no less). Clearly the same ideas being used against Britain and Spain are being used against Ethiopia, but even more dangerously so. Because weakening or dissolving Ethiopia will only be of benefit to Islamist radicals, more than any of the nation's constituent peoples.

Ethiomonarchist

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The situation continues to deteriorate as wide swaths of the southern Oromia region continue to practice almost daily demonstrations against the regime.  In the northern Amhara regions of Gondar (Beghemidir) and Gojjam, a general strike is spreading and reports of the peasantry arming themselves and soldiers defecting to the anti-government camp are causing the ruling party increasing alarm.  Last weekend Addis Ababa was an armed camp as troops and federal police swarmed the city with armored personnel carriers and tanks to prevent an expected mass demonstration that failed to take place.  To call the city tense is an understatement.  Especially in the north, people have been tearing down the republican Federal Flag with it's central blue circle containing a yellow pentagram star and replacing it with the old national flag with no symbol in the middle.  They have also been burning the ugly Marxist inspired red and yellow Amhara regional flag the EPRDF gave the region.  The government has forbidden the display of old flags except in historic displays.  

An alarming element of the unrest is it's increasing ethnic element.  Oromos (estimated 34%) and Amharas(estimated 30%), Ethiopia's two largest ethnic groups have been pitted against each other by the Tigrean (estimated 6%) dominated government ever since they seized power in 1991 and set up their ethnically based governmental and geographic structure.  Ethiopia's 14 traditional historic provinces were abolished and replaced by 9 Federal States based on ethnic groups. They have been telling Oromos that Amhara Emperors have been butchering them for centuries, amputating limbs and breasts etc., while telling Amharas that Oromos have been responsible for ethnically cleansing them from the south since the fall of the Derg.  Now both ethnic groups have turned on them and there is increasing unity of purpose between the uprisings of these two big groups.  The SNNPS (Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples State) has long been a region where the EPRDF is resented, and Gambella has been the scene of extra-judicial killings by the government and seizure of tribal lands for government allied "investors".  It simply would be impossible for anyone to rule the country having alienated these two largest ethnic groups and also a large variety of minority ethnicities.  The muslim anti-government protests have never really been resolved either.  I think the EPRDF's days are numbered.

[regional_map_fdre]

Above map shows Ethiopia's 9 Ethnic Federal States as instituted by the EPRDF government.  Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa are autonomous Self Governming Territories, while the City of Harrar is it's own Harari Federal State

[Provinces_Ethiopie]


Map of the Ethiopian Empire and its 14 Provinces as they were in September 1974 when the monarchy fell.

__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #6 
There seem to be a number of partly or mostly ethnic-based insurgent groups, of which the Ogaden-based Somali groups are militarily the most active. And that's part of the worry.

It is the question of what exactly will replace the existing regime. If Ethiopia were to become a law-governed democracy it would be progress, but a return of the monarchy must happen first.
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #7 
The situation in Ethiopia has deteriorated even further.  Over the past week, thousands have taken to the streets to protest and call for the downfall of the EPRDF across the Amhara lands of Gondar (Beghemidir) Gojjam, Wello, and the wide swath that is Oromia. Peasants have stopped the flow of crops, and city people have observed a general strike that is increasingly crippling the capacity to govern.  Soldiers and police have refused to participate in beating and shooting protesters, but still hundreds of demonstrators have been killed.  Helicopter gunships were filmed firing on villages in Armachoho district near the Sudanese border.  Both peasants and city dwellers are increasingly arming themselves and taking to the hills and there have been fierce gun battles across Gondar and Gojjam.

Last week there were a series of mysterious prison fires.  Most ominous of these was the raging fire that destroyed the Qilinto Federal Prison where many very prominent political prisoners are kept.  Witnesses report that major gunfire was heard, and that many wounded and dead prisoners were taken out.  A man identifying himself as a prison guard spoke to a local private news outlet and said that the prisoners were gunned down as they tried to flee the flames or tried to put out the fire.  While estimates of how many were killed vary wildly the government has admitted that 23 people were killed.  They have yet to inform family members who was kill and who survived and was moved to other prisons.  Family members, mostly the wives, mothers, siblings and children of political prisoners marched on the prison on Tuesday demanding to be told what had happened to their loved ones, and they included the family members of prominent Islamic leaders who were imprisoned due to the Islamic protests of last year, family members of opposition party leaders and the families of rank and file protesters.  They wept and wailed all the way to the prison.  Federal Police waited for them at the gates and beat them brutally.

Prime Minister Haile Mariam Desalegn went on national TV earlier in the week to declare that he was authorizing the military to take "all necessary steps to restore order". Angry opposition figures have called his statement a declaration of war against peaceful protesters, and said that his professed evangelical Christian faith is a farce.

In the face of this upheaval, many have been posting on social media, photographs and video of the late Emperor Haile Selassie, fondly remembering his half century of peaceful rule, and how when revolution came he quietly left power without shedding blood.  A popular image shows the emperor humbly kneeling in prayer, with his face covered by his cloak, at the royal Medhane Alem (Savior of the World) Church with the caption, "May God give us a truly God-fearing Leader Again".  

Image result for Haile Selassie praying

__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #8 
It is an appalling situation which could have much wider-ranging consequences if it gets out of hand. Where is this going to end?

Some historic maps of Ethiopia show how bonkers separatists really are (as does Richard Pankhurst's book Ethiopian Borderlands):
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Category:Maps_of_the_history_of_Ethiopia
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #9 
Yesterday morning, over 1 million Oromo people gathered in the town of Bishoftu (know to most by it's Imperial era name of Debre Zeit) to celebrate their cultural holiday of Iraacha (a pagan thanksgiving festival) on the shores of Lake Hora there.  Some people began to chant anti-government slogans which spread through the massive crowds.  Nervous soldiers reacted with gun shots and tear gas, including from helicopters that were supposed to be dropping flyers celebrating the holiday.  Chaos erupted and a stampede occured in which many people were trampled, and others who were fleeing ended up drowning in the lake, or falling into a very deep ravine where others fell on top of them and smothered them as people piled on top of them.  The government announced that 52 people were killed and that it was caused by trouble makers trying to irresponsibly incite the crowd and start trouble.  Other non-governmental sources are saying the death toll is much higher, with the head of the Bishoftu hospital saying he had received 170 bodies, and that bodies continue to be found, and that there were bodies taken to other hospitals in Addis Ababa and Adama (Nazreth).  Some opposition sources put the death toll as high as 500.  The public is largely blaming the government and today has seen a furious reaction across Oromia state  and other areas all over the south as people of all ethnicities have taken to the streets and have burned down government offices and property.  The northern Amhara regions are already in open rebellion.  Foreign reports are all citing the government figures so far.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/03/africa/ethiopia-oromo-deaths/index.html

__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #10 
The popular uprising in Ethiopia has reached a boiling point after last weekend's massacre at Bishoftu/Debre Zeit.  Reports from Ethiopia indicate that the uprising has now come to the capital and is closing in within 25 kilometers of the Menelik Palace.  A huge column of protestors is said to be marching on Meskel Square from the southern suburb of Sebeta.  The Akaki and Qaliti sub-cities within the capital district are said to be completely overrun by anti-government protestors, and the merchants of the Merkato District (Africa's largest open market) have started a general strike.  It seems that the EPRDF regime is rapidly loosing it's grip on power.
__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #11 
In the latest development, Sultan Hanfere Ali Mirah, Sultan of the Afars, and one of the few monarchs still left in place in Ethiopia (strictly as a "spiritual leader"), has announced that the Afar people will rise up along with it's Amhara and Oromo brothers.  It is to be remembered that the Sultan's late father Sultan Ali Mirah Hanfere openly aknowledged the late Emperor in Exile, Amha Selassie I as his rightful sovereign and lord in a public statement issued in defiance of the EPRDF government.  The EPRDF is loosing the ancient empire piece by piece as it all slips from it's grip.

Image result for Ethiopian Empire Arms

__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
DutchMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #12 
Thanks for posting this Ethiomonarchist, the way in which you present things makes it seem much larger than it does when I read the papers here. Guess they aren't really paying attention to the developments in Ethiopia! Do you have hope that a fall of the current regime would lead to a better situation for the country?
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #13 
I am hopeful that things will be better.  The current regime is so very corrupt, and it's ethnicist policies have led the country down a very dangerous path.  Elections have been a farce with the ruling party winning 100% of the seats in parliament.  They have been a nasty joke.  They trumpet endlessly about the great advances and economic growth, but try to cover their long record of repression and brutality, and the vast amount of money that has been squirreled away in foreign bank accounts of powerful party members.  Beyond all that, their inhumanity, their complete disregard for the value of human life has finally cost them every shred of legitimacy they might have claimed.
__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
Ethiomonarchist

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Reply with quote  #14 
Today the uprising in Ethiopia continues to escalate.  The huge stocks of sugarcane at the Wonji Sugar factory (a government owned factory established by Emperor Haile Selassie) have been burned.  Also being targeted across the country are properties owned by Ethio-Saudi Billionaire Sheik Mohammed Al Amoudi who has been a vocal government supporter.  Students have been marching in both Jimma, the old Oromo southern sultanate, and in Hawasa, the capital of SNNPR (Southern Nations Nationalities and Peoples Region) calling for the fall of the EPRDF government.  The government has cut off internet and mobile phone networks in many parts of the country so news has been spotty, but it is still leaking out.  The uprising continues to spread to other ethnic groups as long antagonistic Gurage and Silte ethnic groups have engaged in a joint demonstration against the government saying that the EPRDF has been engaged in divide and conquer tactics against them for 25 years.  

Federal police and special forces "Agazi" units of the army have been cracking down on protesters.  Most alarmingly, machine gun fire has been heard coming from the prison in Jimma, and a great deal of smoke, with rumors spreading that a massacre is taking place.  It is feared that this may be a repeat of the prison fire and massacre at Kilinto just a few weeks ago.

The answer to all of this is the crown.

 Image result for Ethiopian Imperial Crown

__________________
The Lion of Judah hath prevailed.

Ethiopia stretches her hands unto God (Quote from Psalm 68 which served as the Imperial Motto of the Ethiopian Empire)

"God and history shall remember your judgment." (Quote from Emperor Haile Selassie I's speech to the League of Nations to plead for assistance against the Italian Invasion, 1936.)
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #15 
A movement for restoration will need organisation and resources, and to be able to mobilise Ethiopians at home and abroad. The international community should be gravely concerned because of the catastrophic security situation that may result.
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