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KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #31 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponocrates
Exit polls had Capriles up by 5-6% margin, but surprise, surprise, Chavez won in the end.  


Where did you get that from. Also, Capriles has already conceded defeat to Chavez. I personally wanted Capriles to win. Chavez is a boor.
Ponocrates

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Reply with quote  #32 
http://freevenezuela.org/exit-poll-shows-capriles-in-the-lead-chavez-says-hell-respect-results/
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"For every monarchy overthrown the sky becomes less brilliant, because it loses a star. A republic is ugliness set free." - Anatole France
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #33 
This has been the strongest challenge to Chavez in his time in power, and when legislative elections in 2015 happen, we might see a change.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #34 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montenegrin_parliamentary_election,_2012

Montenegro held parliamentary elections on the 14th, and the ruling party/coalition won, albeit one seat short of a majority. Not sure what will happen to the very real possibility of a Montenegrin restoration, though given that the current government there's all but restored the monarchy, this might just be a good thing.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #35 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20113616

Full results are to be released tomorrow in Ukraine's election, but Yanukovych's party is claiming victory, as the polls predicted. Tymoshenko's party is in second, with a far-right party (I forget their name), the Communists, and Vitaly Klitschko's party all likely to enter Parliament.

I predict a majority government will be formed by a coalition of Tymoshenko's and Klitschko's parties, as that's most likely according to the polls. This would make Arseniy Yatsenyuk the Ukrainian PM.
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #36 
You mean Svoboda ("Freedom")? That, like other nationalist forces, is stronger in western Ukraine where nationalism and Russophobia tend to be stronger.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #37 
Quote:
Originally Posted by DavidV
You mean Svoboda ("Freedom")? That, like other nationalist forces, is stronger in western Ukraine where nationalism and Russophobia tend to be stronger.


Yes, I do. Thank you.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #38 
Party of Regions: 32.07%
Tymoshenko's party: 24.02%
Communists: 13.98%
UDAR: 13.42%
Svoboda: 9.51%

No other parties will be in Parliament (well, not in the proportional seats anyways), and the seat totals aren't all in yet. Seats are split about evenly between constituency and proportional seats, and 226 seats are needed for a majority.

Along with my best guess on the proportional seats, I'm estimating

Party of Regions: about 192-193 seats total.
Tymoshenko's party: about 102-103 seats total.
Communists: about 33-34 seats total.
UDAR (Klitschko's party, btw): about 37-38 seats total.
Svoboda: about 32-33 seats total.
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko: about 1 seat total.
United Centre: about 3 seats total.
People's Party: about 2 seats total.
Union: about 1 seat total.
Independents: about 43 seats total.

Party of Regions got about 51% of the constituency seats so far (they expected around two-thirds).
But I'm not having a clue who will form government. I checked how many seats Tymoshenko's party would have if they got Klitschko's party, all four minor parties, and all the independents, they'd only have a number matching PoR's total. For their part, PoR needs either 3/4 of the independents or the Communists to join them in a coalition offer to have even a chance at forming a government.

Oh, and only about 84% of the votes are in so far.

I predict a short-lived government, most likely of Azarov as PM, and a new election early next year if these totals hold.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #39 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20120888

The OSCE has been critical of the Ukrainian parliamentary election. Take a look at which member of royalty headed the delegation.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #40 
Party of Regions: 191 seats total.
Tymoshenko's party: 103 seats total.
Communists: 32 seats total.
UDAR (Klitschko's party, btw): 39 seats total.
Svoboda: 35 seats total.
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko: 1 seat total.
United Centre: 3 seats total.
People's Party: 2 seats total.
Union: 1 seat total.
Independents: 43 seats total.

With 96.2% of the vote counted, these appear to be the results. A hung Parliament.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukrainian_parliamentary_election,_2012
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #41 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20656359

Romania holds parliamentary elections today, December 9th, and the war between Basescu and Ponta will likely recommence. This is because Basescu has apparently implied he might not reappoint Ponta as PM even if the Social Liberal Union wins a majority in the election.

The latest poll shows the USL likely to win 62% of the vote, with the ARD of former PM Mihai Razvean Ungareanu likely to become the official opposition. Also expected to enter the Romanian Parliament are the political party of Dan Diaconescu and the ethnic Hungarian party in Romania. According to the latest poll, only these four parties will pass the 5% threshold to enter the Romanian Parliament.

Oh, and there's an IMF loan keeping Romania afloat due to expire in early 2013. Fun times, ahead, folks! And perhaps critical times ahead for the possibility of restoring King Mihai of the Romanians...
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #42 
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/09/us-romania-politics-idUSBRE8B80DF20121209

The USL has won a clear majority of votes, around 54-58%, in the elections, giving them a landslide victory in both chambers of Romania's Parliament. Basescu's ARD won around 19%, and populist Dan Diaconescu's party won about 11%. The Hungarian party won about 5% of the vote, and Ponta is looking for a coalition with them, supposedly.

Results will be released tomorrow, and full seat counts are to be released by Wednesday. Then Basescu is expected to name who will form a government. Which will cause problems if it isn't Victor Ponta, who I would think has a pretty clear mandate after the USL landslide.
KYMonarchist

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Reply with quote  #43 
The seat counts appear to be in now! The percentages following the seat totals are those of the votes.

Results of the 2012 election for the Romanian Senate:

Social Liberal Union:                           122 seats, up 45 from the 2008 election (60.07%)
Right Romania Alliance:                        24 seats, down 27 from the 2008 election (16.72%)
People's Party - Dan Diaconescu:          21 seats, up 21 from the 2008 election (14.63%)
Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania: 9 seats, no change from the 2008 election (5.25%)

There are 176 total seats in the Romanian Senate, and the Social Liberal Union has about 70% of them.

Results of the 2012 election for the Chamber of Deputies of Romania:

Social Liberal Union:                                            273 seats, up 94 from the 2008 election (58.61%)
Right Romania Alliance:                                        56 seats, down 59 from the 2008 election (16.52%)
People's Party - Dan Diaconescu:                          47 seats, up 47 from the 2008 election (13.98%)
Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania:                 18 seats, down 2 from the 2008 election (5.15%)
Democratic Forum of Germans of Romania:               1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.52%)
Social Democratic Roma Party of Romania:               1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.29%)
Union of Macedonians of Romania:                          1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.16%)
Union of Armenians of Romania:                              1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.14%)
Bulgarian Union of the Banat - Romania:                   1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.13%)
League of Albanians of Romania:                             1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.13%)
Federation of Jewish Communities of Romania:           1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.13%)
Greek Union of Romania:                                        1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.13%)
Democratic Union of Turco-Islamic Tatars of Romania: 1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.12%)
Democratic Union of Slovaks and Czechs in Romania:   1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.11%)
Lipovenian Russian Community of Romania:                1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.11%)
Union of Serbs of Romania:                                     1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.10%)
Union of Poles of Romania Dom Polski:                      1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.10%)
Association of Italians of Romania:                          1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.10%)
Union of Ukrainians of Romania:                              1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.09%)
Turkish Democratic Union of Romania:                      1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.09%)
Union of Croatians of Romania:                               1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.08%)
Cultural Union of Ruthenians of Romania:                  1 seat, no change from the 2008 election (0.07%)

There are 412 total seats in the Chamber of Deputies of Romania, and the Social Liberal Union has about 66% of them.

Romania's election law guarantees ethnic minority parties at least one seat if they get a certain number of votes, while for the other parties there is a 5% threshold, which only four parties surpassed.

That's a landslide majority in both chambers of the Romanian legislature, folks. Things look up for King Mihai! Crin Antonescu will probably win the 2014 presidential election in a landslide, and then by 2015 we might just see a restoration, given that the sentiment for it is so far only increasing.

For the remainder of the results, including exact vote totals, the parties that did not win seats, and the number of candidates and remaining proportions of seats, please visit the Wikipedia link below: 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Romanian_legislative_election,_2012
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #44 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Korean_presidential_election,_2012

Park Geun-Hye, daughter of Park Chung-Hee, aims not only to become South Korea's first female president but also the first relative of a former president to run and be elected. Her opponent is the liberal Moon Jae-In.
DavidV

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Reply with quote  #45 
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-12-20/park-poised-to-win-south-korean-election/4437060

And it looks like that Park Geun-Hye has won. Interesting times ahead in Asia.
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